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Turn external shocks into hedged exposure

Rimarca monitors tariff, regulatory, legislative, and geopolitical signals, quantifies what each one costs you, and shows the hedges that would cover it, priced and sized. For the risks no traditional market covers.

Know what a policy change costs you.

Rimarca watches the official sources that govern your exposure, maps each change onto the lanes, inputs, and contracts it actually touches, then prices it: probability, expected loss, and what cover would cost.

Acme Industries · risk file US-0142

Illustrative

01 · Risk Discovery

Map your exposure

Rimarca finds the tariff, regulatory, legislative, and geopolitical events most relevant to your business, ranked by potential financial impact.

02 · Exposure Translation

See where it lands

Each event is mapped onto the lanes, inputs, and contracts it actually touches, then priced: probability and expected loss, traceable to a model run.

03 · Hedge Options

Choose your cover

For every priced risk, the cover available: what it costs and what it pays out, including the priced case for retaining the risk. The call stays yours.

Illustrative figures · not financial advice

Tariffs

Duty changes, exclusion expiries, and origin rulings priced against the import lanes you actually run.

Regulation

Rulemaking, compliance regimes, and enforcement shifts that land as direct cost on the goods you move.

Legislation

Bills tracked from committee to enactment, with the probability re-estimated every time they move.

Geopolitical

Sanctions, chokepoints, and route disruption scored against where your suppliers and revenue sit.

Every number traces back to a model run.

Signals flow through your exposure into quantitative models that estimate event probability and expected loss, then size the cover options against your risk tolerance and what each costs. Agents extract and route; the models price; you decide.

Rimarca’s decision graph maps external risk signals through your exposure and a probability and loss model to priced hedge options. Hedge now: driven by Tariff action, Regulatory filing, Import lanes, Input costs, Supplier mix. Stage hedge: driven by Legislative motion, Import lanes, Contract terms. Increase cover: driven by Geopolitical event, Tariff action, Supplier mix, Revenue geography, Input costs. Retain risk: driven by Regulatory filing, Contract terms.

Four steps. Then continuous cover.

Rimarca maps your exposure, attaches the official sources that move it, prices each event, and lays out your hedge options, then keeps re-pricing as both sides change.

01

Map your exposure

Lanes, inputs, suppliers, and contract terms: the surface a shock has to travel through to reach your margin.

02

We attach the sources

Agents watch the dockets, registers, and filings that govern that exposure.

03

We price the risk

Models estimate how likely the event is and what it would cost you if it lands.

04

Size the hedge

Sized, costed options on regulated prediction markets, with the protection each buys, including the priced case for retaining the risk. The call stays yours.

Delivers into the tools your team already uses

  • Notion
  • Linear
  • Jira
  • Slack

Know what the next policy shock costs you.

Map your exposure and see priced, sized hedge options on your highest-risk lane.